AAPL PUT +$2.72 (+273F) from 10:05 to 14:05 — cellar E1 aligned after bands tightened
AAPL PUT [HOLD] entered at 10:05am $312.96 and exited 2:05pm $310.24 for +$2.72 (+273F), with the E1 fired in the cellar while price was already above VPOC and TPOC. Z3 activated bearish at 10:45am (8 bars after E1), then the Kijun cross at 10:40am set the control, and the trade captured 80% control ratio with +$3.38 max MFE at 1:55pm ($309.58).
INITIAL E1
COMMANDERBear MIDAS anchor at 9:30am. 7 bars before entry. anchored in the loft. no bull MIDAS below. no knights.
PROFILEE1 fired in the cellar. Already above VPOC at entry. Already above TPOC at entry.
KYROPUT [HOLD] entered at 10:05am at $312.96. Exited at 2:05pm at $310.24. Total profit +$2.72.
PAINPrice pulled $0.91 against the position (worst at 10:30am) over 40 minutes before the trade had 10F to show. Gave back $0.66 from peak before exit.
KNIGHTNo volume spike in the 5 bars before entry. Volume during the trade: at 10:10 am (present), at 10:30 am (active), 10:55 am–11:05 am (2 bars, present), at 11:45 am (active), at 12:20 pm (active), at 1:20 pm (present), 1:35 pm–1:45 pm (3 bars, present), at 2:00 pm (active).
COMPRESSIONBands compressed before entry: at 9:40 am, at 9:55 am. No compression during the trade.
EXPANSIONExpansion before entry: BBW+STD at 10:00 am. Expansion during the trade: BBW+STD at 10:05 am, BBW+STD 10:50 am–11:35 am (10 bars), STD at 1:15 pm.
KINGDOMEntry 2 (E2) — position sizing: Kijun crossed below at 10:40 am, 7 bars after E1.
RANGE EXTEntry 3 (E3) — range extension: price crossed below IB low at 10:45 am at $312.25, 8 bars after E1.
Z3Z3 bearish cape activated at 10:45 am, 8 bars after E1. 12 favorable bars, 17 total cape bars during the trade. Peak Z3: 3.89 at 12:35 pm.
DMINo DMI compression in the 5 bars before entry. DMI compressed during the trade: 10:20 am–10:35 am (4 bars), 11:25 am–11:35 am (2 bars), 12:20 pm–12:45 pm (5 bars). DI- won at 10:40 am, 7 bars after entry.
SYNCHRONYBreakthrough zone: 10:30am–10:55am — Z3 cape fired, E2 Kijun cross, E3 range extension, DI+ won, volume spike, BBW+STD expansion.
RESULTTotal profit +$2.72. Max MFE +$3.38 at 1:55 pm ($309.58). Captured 80% of the move.
◆ MASTER READ
AAPL put HOLD entered at 10:05am at $312.96 and exited at 2:05pm at $310.24 for +$2.72, with an 80% control ratio against a max MFE of +$3.38 at 1:55pm.
Z3 activated bearish at 10:45am, 8 bars after E1, then stayed active for 17 total cape bars with 12 favorable bars and a peak Z3 reading of 3.89 at 12:35pm.
The move built from a bear volume anchor set at 9:30am in the loft with no opposing bull anchor below, while E1 printed in the cellar above both VPOC and TPOC; bands tightened at 9:40am and 9:55am, expanded at 10:00am and again through 10:05am and 10:50am–11:35am, DI- took control at 10:40am with the Kijun flip, and range extension below the IB low hit at 10:45am at $312.25 as volume came in at 10:10am, 10:30am, and 10:55am–11:05am.
Pain was real but contained: price closed $0.91 against the position by 10:30am, and it took 40 minutes before the trade had 10F to show; from the best close at 1:55pm, the exit gave back $0.66.
This was not a clean immediate flush, but once the 10:30am–10:55am window aligned, the general held and the hold was worth it.